# Authentic Intelligence Briefings (briefings.iyer.dev)

> Interactive macroeconomic simulations, D3 visual journalism, and systems architecture briefings by Kartik Iyer (https://iyer.dev).

## Overview
Authentic Intelligence Briefings is an interactive research publication combining empirical public datasets (CBS, CPB, Eurostat, IMF, OECD, USGS, EIA, World Gold Council) with live browser-based D3.js and Chart.js simulations. Each briefing allows policy analysts, executives, and researchers to stress-test macroeconomic and enterprise assumptions in real time.

- **Author:** Kartik Iyer — Solution & Systems Architect, The Hague, Netherlands (https://iyer.dev)
- **Primary Hub:** https://briefings.iyer.dev/
- **RSS Feed:** https://briefings.iyer.dev/rss.xml

## Investigative Essays
- [The Big Churn: RTO, AI, and the Quiet Restructuring of Professional Life](https://briefings.iyer.dev/articles/the-big-churn/): Empirical analysis of how return-to-office mandates (where 25% of executives admitted hoping for voluntary attrition) and AI automation of intermediate knowledge work converge on the same professional cohort.
- [The Dutch Reckoning: AI Automation and the Sovereign Fiscal Architecture of the Netherlands](https://briefings.iyer.dev/articles/nl-reckoning/): Deep-dive into the Netherlands' €142B Social Security Contribution (SSC) dependency (33.2% of sovereign revenue), 3.33 million workers in the AI automation zone, and why the poldermodel consensus cycle faces a closing 2026–2028 policy window.

## Interactive Simulators & Visual Briefings
- [The Displacement Chain Simulator](https://briefings.iyer.dev/displacement_chain_v2_human.html): Interactive household-to-sovereign cascade simulator modeling how white-collar AI task displacement flows into discretionary spending, commercial real estate, and sovereign tax receipts.
- [The Proxy Problem & The 3 Enterprise Data Fallacies](https://briefings.iyer.dev/reports/the-proxy-problem/): Interactive systems laboratory modeling Goodhart's Law divergence curves, the System-Counting Fallacy, the Definition-Execution Gap (73% unowned KPIs), and the Data Product Fallacy.
- [The Dutch Reckoning — Interactive Fiscal Laboratory](https://briefings.iyer.dev/reports/nl-sovereign-reckoning/): Scrollytelling macroeconomic model of Dutch SSC fiscal exposure (2025–2036), sector-by-sector headcount vulnerability, and ROAM risk governance.
- [The Big Churn Fallacy — Global Balance Sheet Simulator](https://briefings.iyer.dev/reports/the-big-churn-fallacy/): 10-country macroeconomic laboratory modeling sovereign payroll tax erosion vs. corporate margin expansion under agentic task substitution.
- [The Petro-Politics & Maritime Flow of Liquid Gold](https://briefings.iyer.dev/reports/petro-politics/): Interactive 3D orthographic globe and Sankey flow simulator mapping OPEC+ crude extraction, maritime chokepoint risks (Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, Malacca), and freight inflation shocks.
- [The Alchemy of Gold: Mine to Sovereign Vault](https://briefings.iyer.dev/reports/alchemy-of-gold/): Interactive circle-packing and sunburst model of central bank bullion reserves, Swiss refining dominance, and real-yield CPI correlations.
- [The Battery Metal Loop & EV Super-Cycle](https://briefings.iyer.dev/reports/battery-metal-loop/): Interactive supply-chain concentration index mapping Lithium Triangle and DRC Cobalt extraction through Chinese chemical refining to 2030 gigafactory deficits.